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World Cup Predictions: Probability of Each Team’s Victory

World Cup

Just three days remain until the 2026 FIFA World Cup draw in Washington, D.C., on December 5. Fans worldwide are eagerly waiting to see their teams’ potential paths to glory as the tournament promises to be the biggest in history. With 48 teams, 104 matches, and 16 venues across the United States, Canada, and Mexico, the excitement is unparalleled. Six teams are yet to qualify—four from UEFA playoffs and two via inter-confederation playoffs.

Spain Eyes Glory with Rising Star Yamal

Spain enters the tournament as the supercomputer’s favorite, with a 17% chance of lifting the trophy. Luis de la Fuente’s squad has been unstoppable, unbeaten in their last 31 matches, and Euro 2024 winners. Teen sensation Lamine Yamal has emerged as a key player.

“𝒀𝒂𝒎𝒂𝒍’𝒔 𝒑𝒆𝒓𝒇𝒐𝒓𝒎𝒂𝒏𝒄𝒆 𝒉𝒂𝒔 𝒃𝒆𝒆𝒏 𝒆𝒙𝒕𝒓𝒂𝒐𝒓𝒅𝒊𝒏𝒂𝒓𝒚,” 𝒂𝒏𝒂𝒍𝒚𝒔𝒕𝒔 𝒔𝒂𝒚. “𝑯𝒆 𝒄𝒓𝒆𝒂𝒕𝒆𝒔 𝒄𝒉𝒂𝒏𝒄𝒆𝒔 𝒕𝒉𝒂𝒕 𝒄𝒂𝒏 𝒄𝒉𝒂𝒏𝒈𝒆 𝒕𝒉𝒆 𝒄𝒐𝒖𝒓𝒔𝒆 𝒐𝒇 𝒂 𝒎𝒂𝒕𝒄𝒉, 𝒋𝒖𝒔𝒕 𝒍𝒊𝒌𝒆 𝒕𝒉𝒆 𝒗𝒆𝒕𝒆𝒓𝒂𝒏𝒔 𝒐𝒇 𝑳𝒂 𝑹𝒐𝒋𝒂.”

Spain will rely on the fitness of Pedri and Gavi, both crucial to replicating the success Spain had in 2008 and 2010.

France and Mbappe Chase History

France ranks second in the predictions with a 14.1% chance. Coach Didier Deschamps, in his final tournament with Les Bleus, aims to cement his legacy. Captain Kylian Mbappe will lead a star-studded team alongside Ousmane Dembele.

“𝑴𝒃𝒂𝒑𝒑𝒆 𝒉𝒂𝒔 𝒎𝒂𝒕𝒖𝒓𝒆𝒅 𝒊𝒏𝒕𝒐 𝒂 𝒍𝒆𝒂𝒅𝒆𝒓,” 𝒏𝒐𝒕𝒆𝒅 𝒂 𝑭𝒓𝒆𝒏𝒄𝒉 𝒇𝒐𝒐𝒕𝒃𝒂𝒍𝒍 𝒂𝒏𝒂𝒍𝒚𝒔𝒕. “𝑯𝒆’𝒔 𝒄𝒉𝒂𝒔𝒊𝒏𝒈 𝒓𝒆𝒄𝒐𝒓𝒅𝒔 𝒘𝒉𝒊𝒍𝒆 𝒊𝒏𝒔𝒑𝒊𝒓𝒊𝒏𝒈 𝒂 𝒕𝒆𝒂𝒎 𝒉𝒖𝒏𝒈𝒓𝒚 𝒇𝒐𝒓 𝑾𝒐𝒓𝒍𝒅 𝑪𝒖𝒑 𝒔𝒖𝒄𝒄𝒆𝒔𝒔.”

Despite France losing 5-4 to Spain in the UEFA Nations League semi-finals, the squad has the firepower to challenge for the ultimate prize.

England Seeks Breakthrough

England, under Thomas Tuchel, has 11.8% odds of winning. The Three Lions aim to end a 60-year major tournament drought. Star forwards Harry Kane, Jude Bellingham, and Phil Foden are expected to spearhead the attack, though Tuchel must manage fitness concerns and squad rotation carefully.

Argentina, Messi, and the Pursuit of a Second World Cup

Argentina, led by Lionel Messi, comes with an 8.7% chance. Messi continues to break personal and team records and seeks to emulate Maradona by winning a second World Cup. With Inter Miami’s form translating into international brilliance, Argentina is poised to challenge the favorites.

Other Contenders: Germany, Portugal, Brazil, the Netherlands, and Norway

Germany has a 7.1% chance, struggling to regain its former glory after two early exits. Portugal, with Cristiano Ronaldo aiming for a sixth World Cup appearance, holds 6.6% odds. Brazil, aiming to break a 24-year drought, has 5.6% chances, while the Netherlands comes in at 5.2%, with strong Premier League stars. Norway, powered by Erling Haaland, carries a 2.3% chance but dreams of shocking the world.

“𝑻𝒉𝒊𝒔 𝑾𝒐𝒓𝒍𝒅 𝑪𝒖𝒑 𝒑𝒓𝒐𝒎𝒊𝒔𝒆𝒔 𝒔𝒖𝒓𝒑𝒓𝒊𝒔𝒆𝒔,” 𝒂𝒏𝒂𝒍𝒚𝒔𝒕𝒔 𝒘𝒂𝒓𝒏. “𝑾𝒉𝒊𝒍𝒆 𝒇𝒂𝒗𝒐𝒓𝒊𝒕𝒆𝒔 𝒍𝒊𝒌𝒆 𝑺𝒑𝒂𝒊𝒏 𝒂𝒏𝒅 𝑭𝒓𝒂𝒏𝒄𝒆 𝒍𝒆𝒂𝒅, 𝒕𝒆𝒂𝒎𝒔 𝒍𝒊𝒌𝒆 𝑵𝒐𝒓𝒘𝒂𝒚 𝒂𝒏𝒅 𝑷𝒐𝒓𝒕𝒖𝒈𝒂𝒍 𝒄𝒂𝒏 𝒄𝒉𝒂𝒏𝒈𝒆 𝒕𝒉𝒆 𝒏𝒂𝒓𝒓𝒂𝒕𝒊𝒗𝒆 𝒊𝒏 𝒂𝒏 𝒊𝒏𝒔𝒕𝒂𝒏𝒕.”

The World Cup 2026 is shaping up to be a historic tournament where legends, records, and surprises await fans across the globe.

Also Read: Lamine Yamal Declares: ‘I Don’t Want to Be Messi’

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